Lusher Advisory: AR Intelligence

Lusher Advisory: AR Intelligence

Forrester’s 4Q 2024 Earnings – Is This AR's Strategic Inflection Point?

Eight consecutive quarters of influence metrics erosion demands AR’s engagement reassessment

Lusher Advisory: AR Insights's avatar
Lusher Advisory: AR Insights
Mar 04, 2025
∙ Paid

AR Intelligence Snapshot

Forrester's Influence Crisis Deepens

Forrester's Q4 2024 earnings reveal a concerning picture for AR leaders tracking the firm's influence with enterprise buyers. For the eighth consecutive quarter, all core metrics that signal an analyst firm's market impact have deteriorated:

  • Research contract value plunged 7.3% YoY to $307.6M

  • Client count hemorrhaged 507 companies in just 12 months

  • Events revenue collapsed by 42% with declining attendance

  • Sales headcount down to 580, the lowest since 2018

These aren't mere fluctuations but symptoms of fundamental strategic missteps. Forrester's decision to abandon sub-$50M tech vendors, its struggling transition to Forrester Decisions, and execution failures in events and reprints businesses have created a perfect storm that threatens the firm's ability to influence technology purchasing decisions.

Dig Deeper

  • Which ones and to what extent did Forrester’s key “future influence” metrics decline in 4Q24?

  • Can incentivizing the quota-bearing sales reps to sell to sell events tickets and sponsorships solve the declining events business or is there a deeper problem

  • Will having a digital Reprints Client Hub stop the slide in reprints sales or is there something more fundamental that makes reprints less attractive to vendors

  • Is DOGE’s Federal contract cancellations and employee firings going to be a Sword of Damocles for Forrester in 2025?

  • Did Forrester’s decision to stop selling to tech vendors under $50m in revenue contribute to today’s issues with contract value, event sponsorship, and reprints

  • With analyst firms on divergent trajectories, how should AR leaders reassess their Forrester strategy without abandoning potentially valuable relationships?

  • AR Intelligence Conclusion: Forrester at a Crossroads, AR at an Inflection Point

Got questions? We have answers! Talk to a Lusher Advisory analyst.

Readers are encouraged to schedule an inquiry with Lusher Advisory to have the research applied to their situation. Contact carter.lusher@lusheradvisory.com or 650-274-8309 to schedule the meeting.

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